March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

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Dave
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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by Dave » Tue Sep 15, 2020 4:14 pm

One bit of good news recently, was a study which suggests that giving COVID-19 patients a good solid dose of a specific Vitamin D metabolite may be quite helpful. Of those patients who were hospitalized, those given this Vitamin D metabolite were much less likely to need to be taken into Intensive Care.

The metabolite in question is calcifediol (25-hydroxycholecalciferol). This isn't drugstore / vitamin-supplement "Vitamin D" (vitamin D3 a.k.a cholecalciferol). It's what cholecalciferol is turned into by the liver, and part of the complex chain of Vitamin D metabolism.

As with the use of dexamethasone and other steroids, this isn't either a prevention or a cure, but does seem to be a helpful treatment which helps keep bad cases of COVID-19 from getting worse in many cases.

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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by AnotherFairportfan » Wed Sep 16, 2020 2:06 pm

New coronavirus cases in the U.S. spiked to more than 52,000 on Tuesday, according to figures from Johns Hopkins University, marking the highest daily number in over a month.

The deeply worrying figure was recorded on the same day that President Donald Trump doubled down on his claim that the virus will “go away” thanks to what he called “herd mentality,” even if no viable vaccine is created.
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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by Typeminer » Thu Sep 17, 2020 10:32 am

Yeah. Plenty of herd mentality, all right.

I've been reading an 1893 edition of The Diary of Samuel Pepys in the john since March. I'm up to August 1664. The plague's in Amsterdam. Not sure if Sam knows it's coming for London. (Say what? Why, yes. The old folks were from Ireland. :twisted: )

History of Germany in the 1930s seemed too close to the bone.
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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by AnotherFairportfan » Thu Sep 17, 2020 1:01 pm

An internal memo from the Federal Emergency Management Agency obtained by ABC News on Wednesday night showed that the current national trend in new cases is only slightly down while the trend in new deaths is way up.

There were 261,204 new cases of COVID-19 confirmed in the United States during the period of Sept. 9-15, a 0.7% decrease from the previous week. Meanwhile, 5,906 coronavirus-related deaths were recorded during that same period, a 16.6% increase compared with the seven days prior, according to the FEMA memo.[/a]
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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by jwhouk » Sat Sep 19, 2020 4:58 pm

As of Sept. 19, 2020, Okanogan County in Washington had a higher percentage of active cases to population (2,424/100k) than Pima County in Arizona (2,282/100k).

Pima County, which houses the University of Arizona in Tucson, has a population nearly 25 times that of Okanogan County.
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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by lake_wrangler » Wed Sep 23, 2020 9:52 pm

Just seen the following text in a YouTube comment... copying and pasting here:

“This coronavirus is the strangest virus I’ve ever heard of. It’s very dangerous in the way it spreads. It is so mysterious the way it lurks in schools, but then dies at Home Depot. It can wreak havoc in churches; praying people are exceptionally vulnerable! Although it’s mind-boggling how it vanishes when people stand close together holding signs, destroying businesses, homes, property, monuments, etc. Yet, standing to watch a marathon or a concert triggers its wrath. It is sneaky. It can spread when buying clothes at Kohl’s but not at Target. It is non-alcoholic. It can’t spread when you are buying beer. It lives for two days on Amazon boxes, you must wait 48 hours to touch them but it can’t survive on Dunkin Donuts coffee cups, so enjoying a hot cup of joe is safe. It is the most curious thing, how it lives on basketballs, baseball bats and ballet bars, but dies on WWE ropes and Walmart shopping carts. It is spread by hair stylists, dog groomers, and dentists, but not by bank tellers, cashiers, and fast food workers. It’s so smart. It won’t bother the first 10 people gathered but it knows when the 11th person shows up, so be careful if that’s you.! It even knows what you want vs. what you need. If you want a massage or your nails done it is very actively on the prowl and not even a mask can stop it, but if you need a plumber, it is weak, and a mask will keep it away. It also seems to be most dangerous after 5:30pm so businesses must start to close before the virus comes out of hiding and wreaks havoc upon the populations. It also requires dine-in restaurants to have a shorter menu and you use real plates but only plastic forks and spoons.

Whoever heard of such a clever, sneaky virus?!?” - Anonymous

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Atomic
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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by Atomic » Thu Sep 24, 2020 8:26 am

Numbers from "COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios
Updated Sept. 10, 2020"
, Table 1 (about half way down)

Link here,

Table 1
Scenario 5: Current Best Estimate
Infection Fatality Ratio

0-19 years: 0.00003
20-49 years: 0.0002
50-69 years: 0.005
70+ years: 0.054


This translates to CDC estimated survival rates by age:
0 to 19: 99.997%
20 to 49: 99.98%
50 to 69: 99.5%
70+: 94.6%
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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by Atomic » Fri Sep 25, 2020 3:16 pm

In COVID-19 Restrictions Ruling, Judge Holds Pennsylvania Governor to the Constitution

TL;DR: From a Federal Court -- The plaintiffs argued that Pennsylvania’s numerical limits on gatherings—25 people for indoor gatherings, 250 for outdoor gatherings, and up to 75% of maximum occupancy for certain businesses or exempted events—violated the First Amendment.

They also argued that the stay-at-home order violated the Due Process Clause, and that the order shutting down so-called non-life-sustaining businesses violated the Due Process Clause and the Equal Protection Clause.

(The judge) agreed on all counts, (some exceptions about plaintiffs).
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AnotherFairportfan
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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by AnotherFairportfan » Fri Sep 25, 2020 11:56 pm

Proof Positive the world is not flat: If it were, cats would have pushed everything off the edge by now.

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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by Atomic » Sat Sep 26, 2020 9:19 am

Good info site, but bulk numbers only it seems. What/where is the Rate per 1000 info? And how to interpret this data? What's been the Flu cases/deaths numbers and per 1000 rates?

There's lots of data but not a way to make comparisons easily.
Don't let other peoples limitations become your constraints!

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Re: March 12, 2020 (aka COVID-19 thread)

Post by jwhouk » Sat Sep 26, 2020 1:55 pm

ANSWER:
2,424 cases per 100,000 persons.

41.25 population to case ratio.

1,024 active cases in a population of 42,243.

QUESTION: what's the infection rate of Okanogan County, Washington?
"Character is what you are in the dark." - D.L. Moody
"You should never run from the voices in your head. That's how you give them power." - Jin

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